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dc.contributor.authorMorgan, T. Clifton
Palmer, Glenn
dc.date.accessioned 2016-09-21T14:43:38Z
dc.date.available 2016-09-21T14:43:38Z
dc.date.issued 1999
dc.identifier.citation Morgan, T. Clifton and Palmer, Glenn. "Chinese Foreign Policy in the 21st Century: Insights from the Two-Good Theory." (1999) James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy of Rice University: http://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/chinese-foreign-policy-in-the-twenty-first-century-insights-from-the-two-good-theory/.
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/91589
dc.description Part of Energy Forum study "China and Long-Range Asia Energy Security: An Analysis of the Political, Economic and Technological Factors Shaping Asian Energy Markets"
dc.description.abstract We analyze recent trends in Chinese international behavior through the use of the two-good theory of foreign policy. That general theory has states pursuing two desired goals change and maintenance, which refer to their abilities to alter or to protect specific aspects of the status quo. The extent to which countries pursue change and maintenance is a function of state preferences and of the relative capabilities of the country. The theory has been tested in other circumstances and has been shown to explain international behavior well. In this paper we introduce our theory briefly and the apply it to three components of Chinese foreign policy- the initiation of international conflict, the formation of alliances, and the donation of foreign aid. We find that the incidence of the Chinese initiation of international conflict is strongly affected by the growth of its economy. Nonetheless, our analysis indicates that, generally, China is significantly less active in seeking to bring about change in the international system than is sometimes alleged. Further, we argue that China has moderated its foreign policy in response to Western diplomatic overtures. We suggest that continued attempts to engage China diplomatically may prove fruitful.
dc.language.iso eng
dc.publisher James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy of Rice University
dc.relation.urihttp://www.bakerinstitute.org/research/chinese-foreign-policy-in-the-twenty-first-century-insights-from-the-two-good-theory/
dc.title Chinese Foreign Policy in the 21st Century: Insights from the Two-Good Theory
dc.type Research paper
dc.type.dcmi Text


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